The Buffalo Bills may have stolen a victory in Week 11, but let’s not pretend that history isn’t on Kansas City’s side. The Chiefs have owned the Bills in the postseason, and with Arrowhead Stadium providing one of the most hostile environments in football, this rematch feels like a forgone conclusion. Patrick Mahomes and company thrive in these moments, and the Bills simply aren’t built for this kind of pressure.
Josh Allen might have improved his game, but he hasn’t proven he can outduel Mahomes when it matters most. Buffalo’s offense relies heavily on Allen’s heroics, and while he can deliver in spurts, the consistency required to beat Kansas City in January has eluded him. The Chiefs’ defense has been inconsistent, but their ability to force mistakes could tip the scales.
Kansas City’s offensive arsenal is back to full strength, with Travis Kelce and Hollywood Brown expected to play key roles. Kelce’s playoff dominance is a given, and his resurgence late in the season should terrify Buffalo’s secondary. The Chiefs have also found ways to incorporate younger playmakers, adding layers to an already complex offense.
The Bills have tried and failed to overcome Kansas City before, and there’s little reason to believe this time will be any different. The Chiefs’ experience, home-field advantage, and proven ability to rise in big moments make them the clear favorites. Buffalo can talk about changing the narrative, but until they prove it on the field, this is still Kansas City’s game.