Patrick Mahomes Cannot Beat the Texans

Patrick Mahomes has long been the crown jewel of the AFC, but this weekend, the reigning conference champions face a surprising threat in the Houston Texans. While the Chiefs remain favorites to advance, Houston’s defense comes into the game red-hot, fresh off a dismantling of the Chargers where they forced four turnovers.

The key for the Texans will be their ability to pressure Mahomes, who thrives when he has time to dissect defenses. Will Anderson, Houston’s defensive cornerstone, has been a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks, and his relentless motor could cause problems for Kansas City’s offensive line. But it won’t be enough to disrupt Mahomes alone—Houston needs its offense to play complementary football. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud must avoid slow starts and find playmakers like Nico Collins early and often to keep the game within reach.

On the flip side, Kansas City’s offense is rested and loaded. With Travis Kelce finally in game shape, and Mahomes boasting one of the most versatile arsenals in the league, the Chiefs will look to exploit any cracks in Houston’s secondary. While Kansas City is the favorite, Houston’s momentum and defensive prowess could make this game far more competitive than the line suggests.