The NFL is a league built on high stakes and even higher expectations, especially in the fiercely competitive AFC North, where head coaches navigate a gauntlet of pressure every season. With mandatory minicamps and OTAs now underway, it’s a prime time to take a closer look at which coaches might find themselves on shaky ground as the season unfolds. This year’s list from PFF highlights three coaches from the division who could feel the heat.
Kevin Stefanski, Browns
After five seasons at the helm, Kevin Stefanski has amassed a mixed record of 40-44, punctuated by two playoff appearances. Last season, however, was a notable low point, as the Browns stumbled to a dismal 3-14 finish, resulting in the second-overall draft pick.
Stefanski’s situation is particularly intriguing. In 2020, he showcased his offensive prowess by leading the team to a top-10 finish in EPA per play, igniting hope in Cleveland. Yet, the last season unraveled his progress, with the offense finishing dead last in EPA per play and struggling to establish any rhythm. The juxtaposition of his successful offensive schemes against the backdrop of such a decline raises questions about the future. The defense, which was once a stalwart of the team, also regressed significantly, ending up 15th in EPA per play and 29th in PFF coverage grade. With pressure mounting, Stefanski must find a way to reignite the spark in Cleveland.
Zac Taylor, Bengals
Zac Taylor’s tenure in Cincinnati has produced a 46-52-1 record over six seasons, complete with two postseason runs—though neither has come in the last two years. Last season’s 9-8 record, while solid, wasn’t enough to return the Bengals to the playoffs and has cast a shadow over Taylor’s future.
Despite having a roster rich with talent—including superstars like Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase—Cincinnati’s play has fallen short of expectations. The offense did finish admirably, ranking seventh in EPA per play. However, it was the defense that hindered the team, landing at 28th in success rate. With key offensive players recently extended, the foundation for success remains; yet, the question lingers: can Taylor mold this roster into a championship contender? The potential for defensive improvement is there with new talent added in the draft, but proof will be needed on the field.
Mike Tomlin, Steelers
Mike Tomlin stands as an iconic figure in Pittsburgh, boasting a record of 183-107-2 over 18 seasons. However, the absence of a playoff victory since 2016 is a glaring metric that has led to critique.
Tomlin’s leadership is often debated; on one side, many laud his ability to craft winning seasons despite inconsistent rosters, while others point to late-season failures as a significant drawback. The Steelers have managed to remain competitive with a 38-29-1 record over the past four years, but without playoff success, the pressure mounts.
The transition post-Ben Roethlisberger has been rocky, with the team struggling in the quarterback department. Compounding this issue is a defense that underperformed in 2024, ranking 18th in EPA per play and 30th in success rate. While Tomlin’s experience and track record may buy him some time, the storied franchise must consider how long it can accept mediocrity as other AFC teams surge ahead.
As the season approaches, these coaches will have a pivotal opportunity to turn things around. However, the stakes are undeniably high, and how they respond will shape not just their teams’ futures but also their own career trajectories in the NFL.
