Best and Worst Case Scenarios for the Cowboys in the Draft

October 8, 2023; Santa Clara, California, USA; Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones before the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

As the 2025 NFL Draft approaches, the Dallas Cowboys find themselves at a crossroads, eyeing the potential players they might land. While the excitement and uncertainty of draft day create a chaotic atmosphere, it’s clear that the Cowboys have a few scenarios in mind—both the best and worst ones. Let’s dive into what those possibilities look like for the first round.

Best-Case Scenarios

Tetairoa McMillan Stays on the Board

Wide receiver is arguably the Cowboys’ most pressing need, and currently, Tetairoa McMillan stands out as the top receiving prospect in this draft class. With his prototypical size, impressive catch radius, and game-breaking speed, he would be a perfect complement to CeeDee Lamb. It’s no surprise that McMillan’s name has started to pop up more frequently in mock drafts as a likely pick at 12. The Cowboys would jump at the chance to snag him if he’s still available.

However, Cowboys fans may recall the frustration of 2021, when they watched coveted cornerbacks Patrick Surtain II and Jaycee Horn go off the board right before their selection. To avoid a repeat disappointment this year, securing McMillan would be the ideal scenario for Dallas.

Blue-Chip Prospects Slide

In a draft class lacking in blue-chip talents, teams are looking to move down rather than up, hoping to catch a rising star as the board unfolds. Players like Penn State’s EDGE Abdul Carter and Colorado’s dynamic WR/CB Travis Hunter are considered among the elite, while the offensive line mix features LSU’s Will Campbell and Missouri’s Armand Membou, alongside Penn State’s TE Tyler Warren.

The Cowboys could benefit tremendously if a top-rated player unexpectedly falls into their lap. Depending on who teams value most, names like Ole Miss’ Walter Nolen and Michigan’s Mason Graham could also be on the radar, providing Dallas with an opportunity to grab a top-tier talent that others might overlook.

Shedeur Sanders Drops to 12

Quarterback Shedeur Sanders has been a hot topic of conversation, stirring mixed opinions about his readiness for the NFL. While many recognize his talent, the uncertainty surrounding him may lead some teams to bypass him early in the draft. Should Sanders fall to 12, the Cowboys would be in a prime position to not only select him but also consider trading back. A mid to late first-round selection for teams looking to leap into the quarterback pool could amplify the Cowboys’ draft haul, especially if they prioritize snagging McMillan over a potential quarterback pick.

Worst-Case Scenarios

Selecting Any Running Back

Draft experts are buzzing about potential stars in this running back class, with Ashton Jeanty leading the pack. Another name to keep an eye on is Omarion Hampton from North Carolina, who has his own set of admirers. Yet, the overarching sentiment in league circles is that this draft features an incredibly deep pool of running back talent. Drafting a running back at 12 in such a loaded year could spell disaster for the Cowboys.

With so many viable options available in the later rounds—including Cam Skattebo, Kaleb Johnson, and a strong contingent from Ohio State—the team would be better off addressing more pressing positions and maximizing their capital rather than spending a premium pick on a running back.

Reaching for Matthew Golden

If McMillan goes off the board before the Cowboys’ turn, there’s chatter that they might pivot to Matthew Golden, another wide receiver prospect. While Golden certainly has talent, picking him at 12 would be a stretch. He’s solidified his first-round status with his impressive workout numbers, yet many still view him as a late-first-round pick. Opting for Golden simply due to positional need could reflect a flawed draft strategy, reminiscent of earlier missteps. A more astute approach might involve trading back to land Golden while maximizing their draft capital.

Trading Back for Diminished Returns

The idea of trading back has gained traction among fans and analysts alike, and even Stephen Jones has hinted at this intention. However, with many teams looking to do the same, finding a lucrative deal can be tricky. Simply moving back without securing meaningful value renders the strategy ineffective. If the Cowboys end up trading back post-selection but receive minimal compensation, it could lead to a disappointing draft night scenario, especially if their preferred targets are snatched off the board.

As the clock ticks down to the draft, the Cowboys’ front office will need to stay sharp, balancing opportunity and the potential for missteps. Whether it’s securing a top talent like McMillan or ensuring they don’t reach for a lesser prospect, each decision will have lasting implications on the franchise’s future. Keep an eye on how things unfold; the excitement and unpredictability of the draft are almost upon us!