The hot stove is fired up, and with MLB’s free-agency period in full swing, speculations and predictions abound for the contracts awaiting top players. Here’s an early glimpse into potential deals for the top 10 free agents, blending precedent and industry buzz:
1. Shohei Ohtani: 10 years, $500 million
Ohtani’s historic contributions demand a record-breaking deal, though elbow surgery may factor into contract structuring with possible opt-out clauses.
2. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8 years, $220 million
Seen as a rising star, Yamamoto’s youth, skill, and impressive track record could surpass the record set by Masahiro Tanaka for incoming Japanese pitchers.
3. Cody Bellinger: 6 years, $180 million
Bellinger’s unique season may command a richer deal than George Springer’s $150 million contract, reflecting changes in the league and a new collective bargaining agreement.
4. Matt Chapman: 5 years, $150 million
Despite concerns about Chapman’s batting longevity, his exceptional defensive skills and power make him a lucrative option, possibly securing a five-year deal.
5. Aaron Nola: 5 years, $150 million
Nola’s consistent rotation presence, even with occasional performance fluctuations, may result in a sweeter deal, surpassing expectations.
6. Blake Snell: 5 years, $135 million
While a Cy Young contender, Snell’s command and workload reservations could impact his financial outcome, potentially leading to a shorter and lighter contract.
7. Eduardo Rodriguez: 5 years, $100 million
Rodriguez’s decision to opt out and reestablish himself as a quality lefty starter may earn him an even more substantial deal than predicted.
8. Marcus Stroman: 3 years, $70 million
Stroman’s market value, considering his opting out and performance, might mirror a sweeter version of Chris Bassitt’s deal with the Toronto Blue Jays.
9. Lucas Giolito: 2 years, $38 million
Giolito’s recent performance fluctuations make his market projection challenging, with a two-year deal akin to Nathan Eovaldi’s after adjusting for inflation.
10. Jordan Montgomery: 5 years, $110 million
While less flashy, Montgomery’s consistent performance as a starter could secure a five-year deal as teams recognize his value in delivering quality starts.