The winter MLB market is in full swing, and the first major domino has fallen with Aaron Nola’s return to the Phillies in a seven-year, $172 million deal. As the offseason unfolds, it’s akin to a game of dominos, with each move influencing the next. Here are the key points shaping the pitching landscape:
Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s Impact: The Japanese right-hander has officially entered the market, likely commanding over $200 million. Major contenders, including the Yankees, Mets, Phillies, Giants, Dodgers, and Red Sox, are interested. Yamamoto’s rarity as a high-end 25-year-old pitcher makes him a sought-after asset.
Blake Snell’s Prospects: Despite two Cy Young Awards, Snell might face a more limited market. Represented by Scott Boras, his command issues and past inconsistency may impact his appeal. Boras’s tendency to wait for favorable deals could prolong Snell’s free agency.
Trade Market Dynamics: Teams may opt for trade options like Tyler Glasnow, Dylan Cease, and Corbin Burnes if they don’t pursue high-end free agents. The dwindling supply could elevate trade candidates’ value.
Jordan Montgomery’s Future: The Rangers, aggressive spenders in recent years, may prioritize keeping Montgomery, the best lefty in free agency. His retention could fortify the Rangers’ rotation amid uncertainties.
St. Louis Cardinals’ Pitching Needs: Lance Lynn’s one-year, $10 million deal with the Cardinals addresses some needs, but more is required. The Cardinals may target trade candidates like Cease to bolster their pitching.
Atlanta Braves’ Rotation Search: With Nola off the table, the Braves seek rotation upgrades. Their stacked lineup and recent success make them an attractive destination for potential free-agent pitchers.
Sonny Gray’s Preferences: Gray, a Cy Young finalist, may prefer landing closer to his home state of Tennessee. The Braves could be a favorable destination, but the Rangers’ significant offer might influence the outcome.
Midtier Free Agents’ Waiting Game: Gray and Marcus Stroman could delay decisions until after top-tier pitchers sign, allowing their asking prices to rise.
Boston Red Sox’s Perception Challenge: Pitching is Boston’s focus, but agents suggest they must overcome a tough-place-to-play reputation. Aggressive offers might be necessary to compete for elite pitchers.
Eye on Next Year’s Market: Teams opting for cost-effective options this winter might be preparing for a potentially massive free-agent market next year, featuring Zack Wheeler, Glasnow, Fried, Burnes, Walker Buehler and Shane Bieber.